“No one will surrender”
The West continues to escalate the situation around Ukraine, accusing Russia of preparing an “invasion” and threatening “hellish” sanctions. NATO countries “out of friendship” throw off weapons stale in warehouses to Kiev. Any Russian step, from exercises to the movement of our troops inside the country, causes a fit of hysteria. Many believe that the situation can no longer be resolved through diplomacy. And that means war.
Photo: From the personal archive
“MK” asked a combatant in the Donbass an officer in the reserve of the People's Militia of the Donetsk People's Republic with the call sign “Indus”, to talk about the combat readiness in the ranks of the armed formations of Novorossia.
– I am more than sure that the LPR and DPR will be able to give a fitting rebuff to Ukraine. If in 2014-2015, when few people believed that we could hold out or cope with the regular Ukrainian army, we succeeded, now even more so. In the People's Militia of the republics, two army corps have been formed, constant training is being conducted, and reservists are regularly recruited. Moreover, I myself participated in such training camps as a commander of a reserve company, and I can say that all the reservists who came were guys with experience in previous years' battles.
They then recaptured their homes and went on to engage in peaceful professions – some to the mine, some to where. But they still come to the training camp now, they know and know how to hold weapons in their hands.
Now in the Donbass you yourself understand what kind of people are left. They are no strangers to combat and hardship. Who is not like that, they left a long time ago. Our plus is that we are in the opposition fortified defense. In some areas there are three, and somewhere four lines of defense. Many guys have mining experience behind them, so many shelters are hidden underground, both communication lines and moves are dug in, all weapons are adjusted.
The enemy has been well studied by us for so many years, all his maneuvers and moves are on our eyes. We control everything, we see, we observe. One thing I know for sure, no one will give up. And yes, we have nowhere to go. Donbass will stand to the end.
– We also have enough strength to hold back the first onslaught of the enemy. While the fighters in positions will hold the defense, reserves will be pulled up. Plus, internal troops. The Ministry of Internal Affairs has its own special forces, the guys there, as a rule, are all also with combat experience. They know their places according to the combat schedule. Our police officers are armed and undergo constant training at training grounds, work out interaction with army units.
I'm sure they can close the gap and help even on the second line. Now units of territorial battalions have been introduced into the corps, there are separate reconnaissance battalions, tank battalions, and artillery battalions. This is more than enough to give a worthy rebuff. The territory of the republics is not very large, so the transfer of reinforcements will not take much time. In one direction 50 kilometers, in the other – one hundred and fifty. Reinforcements will be in place within a few hours. During this time, units of reservists will gather on combat alert. They are all assigned to certain regiments, they know their schedule and military specialties.
– It is difficult to answer unambiguously how much these forces will be enough. Everything will depend on how large-scale the provocation from Ukraine will be. It’s one thing if they, like near Telmanovo, point-wise try to occupy some part, and another thing if they start a massive attack on Gorlovka, Donetsk or, say, on the southern border. As we know, Ukrainians are the kind of people who will not fight head-on, in the field, army against army. And they don't have any power. If you look at what they have always been doing, it is mainly sabotage, terrorist attacks and petty provocations. My assumption is that, most likely, there will be some kind of provocative shelling now, as they have done repeatedly. Maybe the shelling of a settlement or the same conglomerate of the chemical industry.
One launch of reactive “Grads” in the residential areas of Gorlovka is enough to provoke our response. I do not believe in a large-scale offensive with tanks. They understand that we are sitting in a layered defense, which means that their losses will be so massive that it simply will not allow them to move on. Ukraine will not engage in urban battles, the maximum that they can achieve is a breakthrough on the southern front with access to the border. Yes, that's all. Or else, as an option, they will try to cut off Donetsk with blows and surround it. It is unlikely that they will succeed. A pinpoint breakthrough of the defense and the ability to go deep into them will not give them anything by and large.
Their main goal and task is clear: to draw Russia into the war. Our President Vladimir Putin said that we will not allow Russians to be offended in Donbass and we will not allow genocide. The very first provocative shelling will show the whole world who is to blame. Do you remember how it was in Ossetia when the Georgians shelled Tskhinvali for some time? Then the whole world saw the true picture of what was happening. And then the Russian troops entered and quickly forced the aggressor to peace.
Many people say that the Donbass will hold out for only three to six hours without help, but I personally think that we will bravely stand up for a day or two, or even three, even against all those Ukrainian forces that they drove in our direction. The first blows, perhaps, will be able to break through the front line somewhere, but our flank ones will go further. And Ukrainians, as practice shows, generally have a favorite method – to climb into the “cauldron”. Well, that means that now there will also be a Donetsk cauldron. Of course, drones can bring us trouble, but, by and large, we more or less hold the sky.
– I think Russia will respond based on the situation and the provocative actions of the enemy. We never attack first, but only counteract attacks. Same here. If these are minor provocations, then, most likely, they will be reflected by their own internal forces of Donbass. If these are provocations of a high level, then, as previously reported, Russian troops will deliver pinpoint strikes at the enemy’s concentration and control centers, at their airfields. By and large, such strikes with the help of modern high-precision weapons can also be delivered from the territory of Russia. If the Russian Aerospace Forces are connected, then no Ukrainian Air Force, EW and air defense will be able to cope. Therefore, air supremacy will be won in the very first hours.
Russia has a huge range of means and capabilities. It can operate from the territory of Crimea, from the Black Sea area, from the Kuban. The Southern Military District has new Russian Iskander missile systems, new units of K-52 combat helicopters, and new aircraft. Right now, the planes of the Southern Military District are conducting missile launches in the Kuban, in the Crimea and in Rostov-on-Don. That is, they are now in full combat readiness. And the task is only to change missiles from training to combat ones.
Russian exercises and the transfer of peacekeepers to the same Kazakhstan have already shown the whole world our decisiveness and efficiency. The naval exercises that are taking place now and the upcoming Russian-Belarusian maneuvers demonstrate the power of our army. Ukrainians have no chance to take Donbass by force.
I have seen the war and I know what it is, so I really hope that world leaders will be able to agree on a peaceful settlement of the conflict.